Warren Buffett ally and left-leaning centi-billionaire William “Bill” Gates III linked MSN, as well as the Daily Caller and WND, are among those news platforms which carried the report that follows which asks the headline question: “Did Bidenomics Kill the American Dream?” They did not cite the Modular Home Builders Association (MHBA) Executive Director Tom Hardiman who predicted such an outcome over two years ago when he alleged that the cronyism and the Biden Housing Plan would ‘turn the American Dream into the American Nightmare.’
Part I of today’s report provides the same text that MSN’s report provided, only this version below was made available to MHProNews courtesy of the WND News Center, which used the original report provided by the Daily Caller. Part II of this article will include the latest 50 state data for HUD Code manufactured housing. In Part III, there is additional information related to the third part of the headline topic. Namely, what will the Manufactured Housing Institute (MHI) do about this problematic opportunity in disguise? Part IV of this report is our Daily Business News on MHProNews manufactured home connected equities market report.
Part I
MONEY THE SWAMP
Homes, cars becoming increasingly unaffordable for middle class
Did Bidenomics kill the American dream?
By WND News Services
Published September 24, 2023 at 3:01pm
- The prices of cars and homes have both grown increasingly out of reach for average Americans as inflation continues to degrade real wages.
- The heightened inflation that the U.S. is experiencing is fueled by the Biden administration’s policies of excessive government spending, which have led the Federal Reserve to raise its federal funds rate, driving up costs and interest rates, according to experts who spoke to the Daily Caller News Foundation.
- “It’s not easy to say what the ‘American Dream’ is at any given moment — we are a nation of hundreds of millions of individuals chasing unique goals,” Peter Earle, an economist at the American Institute for Economic Research, told the DCNF. “But mendacious and destructive government policies are a hindrance to just about every American’s dream. Unless they’re a politician.”
Average Americans are finding homes and cars increasingly unaffordable as inflation from high government spending raises prices and degrades purchasing power.
Half of consumers are being priced out of the car market as the cost of a monthly car loan payment is far exceeding what an average American can afford, while the home affordability index has fallen from a 169.9 point average in 2020 to 87.8 points as of July, according to the National Association of Realtors. One key driver of the rising expenses is inflation, which peaked at 9.1% in June 2022 and is linked to high government spending under the Biden administration, according to experts who spoke to the Daily Caller News Foundation.
“Both housing and automobiles have become increasingly less affordable to American households as a direct result of the Fed having to raise interest rates to curb inflation,” Desmond Lachman, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, told the DCNF. “Most people finance their home and auto purchases by taking out loans and those loans have become much more expensive.”
The Biden administration has introduced a number of high-spending bills that have contributed to the national debt, including the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan signed in March 2021 that aimed to relieve the economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. The president also signed the Inflation Reduction Act in August 2022, which equates to around $750 billion in new spending, with nearly $370 billion of that going towards green initiatives.
The Federal Reserve, in an attempt to slow inflation, has raised the federal funds rate 11 times since 2022, bringing the current rate to a range of 5.25% and 5.50%. Inflation has continued to remain elevated, rising to 3.7% in August from 3.2% in July, far above the 2% target of the Fed.
“Housing is rapidly becoming unaffordable for average Americans owing to what are really two sides of the same coin,” Peter Earle, an economist at the American Institute for Economic Research, told the DCNF. “First, the last few years of inflation have reduced the borrowing power of the dollar. The other side of that, and really the consequent effect, is the rise in asset prices. In most markets home prices have risen between 10 and 15 percent since 2021; more, in some places.”
The median home price in July was $412,300, and the average mortgage rate was 6.92% compared to 2020, when the median home price was $300,200 with a 3.17% mortgage rate, according to the National Association of Realtors.
Real wages have been significantly degraded by inflation, with the median weekly real earnings for both wage and salary workers declining 7.1% in the second quarter of 2023 from their all-time peak in the second quarter of 2020, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
The price of auto insurance has risen 19.1% year-over-year as of August due to the increasing number of claims, while the price of repairs and auto crime has also risen. The loss ratio for insurance companies, the amount that insurance companies receive in premiums compared to how much they deal out in claims, rose to 78.2% in the second quarter of 2023, as opposed to the 64.7% average before the COVID-19 pandemic.
New home construction is crashing. Now down a third in the last year.
Meaning no relief in sight for young families: It now takes $104,000 to qualify for a mortgage.
Meanwhile, there’s about to be a lot of jobless construction workers even as we’re importing millions.
Starts… pic.twitter.com/bv3MRis8vw
— Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@profstonge) September 21, 2023
“The Biden Administration has contributed to this situation by pursuing a highly expansive budget policy that together with very low Fed interest rates caused inflation to surge,” Lachman told the DCNF. “That higher inflation in turn forced the Fed to slam on the monetary policy brakes and raise interest rates at the fastest pace in over forty years.”
The U.S. national debt reached $33 trillion on Tuesday, having already increased by more than $5 trillion over Biden’s term, far greater than the $2.48 trillion increase seen under President Donald Trump and the $4.03 trillion gain under the Obama administration.
“Monetary policy is the domain of the Federal Reserve, and they are at least nominally independent,” Earle told the DCNF. “But by lying about the sources of inflation, mischaracterizing the nature of the inflation, and by passing massive spending bills that are more likely to increase inflation than aid in its suppression — ridiculous names like ‘Inflation Reduction Act’ notwithstanding — the current administration has contributed greatly to economic uncertainty among American consumers. Uncertainty is lethal for economic growth and prosperity.”
“President Biden is investing in affordable housing after decades of inaction,” Michael Kikukawa, assistant press secretary for the White House, told the DCNF. “He believes young people deserve to live in a quality home that they can afford to rent or own — that they deserve a fair shot at the American dream. President Biden is ready to make the significant investments that would make that dream a reality, but Congressional Republicans have blocked every effort to do so.”
“It’s not easy to say what the ‘American Dream’ is at any given moment — we are a nation of hundreds of millions of individuals chasing unique goals,” Earle told the DCNF. “But mendacious and destructive government policies are a hindrance to just about every American’s dream. Unless they’re a politician.” ##
Part II – 50 States Manufactured Housing Production Data
The Institute for Building Technology & Safety (IBTS) gathers the official data for the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). SW is a single section manufactured home. MW is a multi-section or “multi-wide.”
Institute for Building Technology & Safety | |||||||||
Shipments and Production Summary Report 07/01/2023 – 07/31/2023 | |||||||||
Shipments | ||||
State | SW | MW | Total | Floors |
Dest. Pending | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Alabama | 437 | 127 | 564 | 693 |
Alaska | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arizona | 41 | 71 | 112 | 184 |
Arkansas | 45 | 52 | 97 | 149 |
California | 37 | 160 | 197 | 362 |
Colorado | 34 | 21 | 55 | 76 |
Connecticut | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23 |
Delaware | 7 | 16 | 23 | 40 |
District of Columbia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Florida | 120 | 331 | 451 | 783 |
Georgia | 114 | 144 | 258 | 402 |
Hawaii | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Idaho | 5 | 15 | 20 | 36 |
Illinois | 52 | 26 | 78 | 104 |
Indiana | 118 | 43 | 161 | 204 |
Iowa | 22 | 10 | 32 | 42 |
Kansas | 35 | 13 | 48 | 61 |
Kentucky | 84 | 112 | 196 | 308 |
Louisiana | 165 | 92 | 257 | 347 |
Maine | 31 | 50 | 81 | 131 |
Maryland | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Massachusetts | 8 | 5 | 13 | 18 |
Michigan | 166 | 87 | 253 | 340 |
Minnesota | 16 | 12 | 28 | 40 |
Mississippi | 100 | 79 | 179 | 256 |
Missouri | 54 | 41 | 95 | 136 |
Montana | 6 | 16 | 22 | 39 |
Nebraska | 7 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
Nevada | 5 | 23 | 28 | 53 |
New Hampshire | 4 | 14 | 18 | 32 |
New Jersey | 15 | 10 | 25 | 35 |
New Mexico | 27 | 53 | 80 | 133 |
New York | 31 | 87 | 118 | 205 |
North Carolina | 141 | 202 | 343 | 545 |
North Dakota | 9 | 14 | 23 | 37 |
Ohio | 47 | 22 | 69 | 91 |
Oklahoma | 70 | 68 | 138 | 207 |
Oregon | 17 | 54 | 71 | 130 |
Pennsylvania | 45 | 46 | 91 | 137 |
Rhode Island | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
South Carolina | 113 | 154 | 267 | 421 |
South Dakota | 19 | 9 | 28 | 37 |
Tennessee | 62 | 152 | 214 | 367 |
Texas | 510 | 539 | 1,049 | 1,589 |
Utah | 5 | 13 | 18 | 31 |
Vermont | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
Virginia | 26 | 45 | 71 | 116 |
Washington | 10 | 76 | 86 | 169 |
West Virginia | 22 | 35 | 57 | 92 |
Wisconsin | 40 | 14 | 54 | 68 |
Wyoming | 23 | 7 | 30 | 37 |
Canada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2,955 | 3,179 | 6,134 | 9,338 |
THE ABOVE STATISTICS ARE PROVIDED AS A MONTHLY | ||||
SUBSCRIPTION SERVICE. REPRODUCTION IN PART OR | ||||
IN TOTAL MUST CARRY AN ATTRIBUTION TO IBTS, INC. | ||||
Production | ||||
State | SW | MW | Total | Floors |
States Shown(*) | 166 | 208 | 374 | 581 |
Alabama | 631 | 431 | 1,062 | 1,492 |
*Alaska | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arizona | 32 | 93 | 125 | 219 |
*Arkansas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
California | 36 | 141 | 177 | 321 |
*Colorado | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Connecticut | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Delaware | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*District of Columbia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Florida | 59 | 173 | 232 | 406 |
Georgia | 170 | 237 | 407 | 644 |
*Hawaii | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Idaho | 28 | 58 | 86 | 155 |
*Illinois | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Indiana | 401 | 145 | 546 | 691 |
*Iowa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Kansas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Kentucky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Louisiana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Maine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Maryland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Massachusetts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Michigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Minnesota | 68 | 36 | 104 | 140 |
*Mississippi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Missouri | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Montana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Nebraska | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Nevada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*New Hampshire | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*New Jersey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*New Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*New York | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
North Carolina | 129 | 189 | 318 | 507 |
*North Dakota | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Ohio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Oklahoma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Oregon | 24 | 124 | 148 | 279 |
Pennsylvania | 123 | 196 | 319 | 516 |
*Rhode Island | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*South Carolina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*South Dakota | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Tennessee | 384 | 512 | 896 | 1,409 |
Texas | 704 | 636 | 1,340 | 1,978 |
*Utah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Vermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Virginia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Washington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*West Virginia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Wisconsin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Wyoming | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Canada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
*Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2,955 | 3,179 | 6,134 | 9,338 |
(*) THESE STATES HAVE FEWER THAN THREE PLANTS. | ||||
FIGURES ARE AGGREGATED ON FIRST LINE ABOVE | ||||
TOTALS TO PROTECT PROPRIETARY INFORMATION.
Ashok K Goswami, PE, COO, 45207 Research Place, Ashburn, VA |
Part III – Additional Information with More MHProNews Analysis and Commentary
In business many problems can be seen an opportunity in disguise. President John F. Kennedy (D) said that the Chinese characters that mean crisis also mean opportunity. Problems with a lack of affordability in the conventional housing market ought to spell opportunities for the manufactured housing industry, right?
With that in mind, the third part of the headline question comes into focus. What precisely is the Manufactured Housing Institute (MHI) doing about the post-production related issues that face the manufactured home industry?
The evidence suggest that three words should come to mind that describe MHI’s response. Talking. Posturing. Meeting.
Those MHI meetings may prove relevant to the class action case that involves several MHI members and is referenced further below.
A special report with Congressional testimony that features an MHI member is planned in the coming days, perhaps as soon as this week, that will reflect in several ways precisely the points made by the Manufactured Housing Association for Regulatory Reform (MHARR) leaders in their observations about MHI. And as noted, the source of those remarks are from an MHI member and relevant information in past Congressional testimony. That past information should be compared to more recent remarks, like those made by MHI’s prominent leader, William “Bill” Boor, CEO of Cavco Industries.
But it may be worse than just posturing and talking about issues without any progress.
There are clear examples, one of which MHARR’s Mark Weiss recently highlighted, where MHI leaders have said things in their testimony that are apparently contrary to their own arguments and contrary to their claim that they are trying to benefit ‘all segments’ of the industry.
Before moving on, Ghorbani’s outline of the troubling history of MHI’s role in the genesis of the DOE energy rule is a stark example of how MHI has on several occasions made/failed to make moves that would be expected if they actually wanted to implement the provisions of existing law that would allow for more robust and sustainable sales of manufactured homes.
Those who are routinely benefitting from years of such behavior are consolidators. Who says? Attorneys and legal researchers, as well as manufactured housing industry professionals, among others.
The claims made by attorneys on behalf of a class action suit against several MHI members indicates that consolidation of manufactured home communities (MHC) is part of the problem that is fueling sharply higher site fees and other woes experienced by residents of so-called “predatory” MHC operators.
While the exclusive MHProNews report linked below may provide clues as to how those accused MHC operators may attempt to defend themselves, it would be common sense to think that plaintiffs’ attorneys anticipated such possible defense claims. Still, it is useful to see the possible defense that defendants in Case No. 12-cv-6715 may offer.
But beyond those assertions and possible defense arguments and legal maneuvers, there is other evidence that MHI leaders have been acting in a manner that benefits a few to the harm of independents and the residents of MHCs, not to mention other consumers, taxpayers, certain shareholders, and other stakeholders.
A good post-production trade group arguably should be able to take even partisan issues and play them to their advantage.
A good post-production trade group ought to be able to frame messages that may have partisan implications yet do so in a non-partisan or bi-partisan manner.
And just as MHBA’s Tom Hardiman publicly called out the s0-called Biden Administration for a range of apparently flawed plans that Hardiman turned out to apparently be largely correct on, MHI could have done similarly. But they did not.
Evidence for illicit behavior can be direct as well as indirect. There are some things that ought to be apparent which MHI should have done or should swiftly and properly launch. But just as MHI belatedly sued over the looming energy rule, why didn’t they previously sue? Or why hasn’t MHI sued to get enhanced preemption enforced? Or to get the Duty to Serve (DTS) Manufactured Housing provision of the Housing and Economic Recovery Act enforced? Or why didn’t MHI sign on with consumer nonprofits to press the Federal Housing and Finance Agency (FHFA) to get DTS enforced? What good has MHI’s so-called housing advocacy group relationships have yielded for the white hat independents of the manufactured home industry? What has MHI done to properly promote the industry? Or to clarify modern terminology vs. the tread-worn and inaccurate “trailer” or “mobile home” terms?
Manufactured housing ought to be soaring in this sort of troubled economic environment. Manufactured housing ought to be able to draw widely bipartisan support, just as the industry’s leaders achieved when the Manufactured Housing Improvement Act of 2000 (MHIA) was enacted.
The research needed to debunk decades of misconception already exists. Nor can MHI leaders deny that their own prior chairman and longtime board member, Tim Williams of 21st Mortgage Corporation made the case why MHI should be responding to each and every piece of misinformation. Williams said so himself when he announced that MHI was hiring a public relations communications professional. What happened to those promises? Or so many others that have led the industry into its latest downturn instead of renewed growth?
Will MHI act on these matters? While they are able to do so, the evidence obviously suggests that they thus far have failed to do so, or in some instances as noted, have arguably harmed the interests of manufactured home independents and consumers. They have members which have openly or more discretely flailed them for their behaviors and purported cronyism.
The possible solution to these issues hampering manufactured housing advancement internally and externally may include a mix of litigation and a new advocacy group. To learn more about those topics, see the linked reports herein.
This segment of the Daily Business News on MHProNews is the recap of yesterday evening’s market report, so that investors can see at glance the type of topics may have influenced other investors. Thus, our format includes our signature left (CNN Business) and right (Newsmax) ‘market moving’ headlines.
The macro market move graphics below provide context and comparisons for those invested in or tracking manufactured housing connected equities. Meaning, you can see ‘at a glance’ how manufactured housing connected firms do compared to other segments of the broader equities market.
In minutes a day readers can get a good sense of significant or major events while keeping up with the trends that are impacting manufactured housing connected investing.
Reminder: several of the graphics on MHProNews can be opened into a larger size. For instance: click the image and follow the prompts in your browser or device to OPEN In a New Window. Then, in several browsers/devices you can click the image and increase the size. Use the ‘x out’ (close window) escape or back key to return.
Headlines from left-of-center CNN Business – from the evening of 9.25.2023
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- The Fed has a perfect interest rate in mind. Here’s what it is
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Headlines from right-of-center Newsmax 9.25.2023
- Trump: Probe Media for ‘Country-Threatening Treason’
- Former President Donald Trump called for a thorough review of media bias in America, prompting a rebuttal from the White House on Monday. [Full Story]
- Newsmax TV
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- Newsfront
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- The Biden administration in recent months knew a large number of migrants prepared to enter the U.S. at the southern border and did nothing about it, The Washington Free Beacon reported…. [Full Story]
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