‘There is No Worse Enemy Than the One Who Looks Like a Friend…’ That is a paraphrase of the actual remarks attributed to Roman general and politician Lucius Cornelius Sulla – “No friend ever served me, and no enemy ever wronged me, whom I have not repaid in full,” per Real Clear Defense. Manufactured housing has some who have portrayed themselves as “friends” who are apparently enemies to thousands of past and remaining manufactured housing independents and to the potentially millions of Americans who are without an affordable home of their own. As the Manufactured Housing Association for Regulatory Reform (MHARR) recently reminded their readers, part of the purpose of the Manufactured Housing Improvement Act of 2000 (MHIA or 2000 Reform Act) legislation passed with widely bipartisan support in Congress was to promote more affordable housing and more affordable home ownership. Oddly to some, despite the MHIA’s Congressional stated purpose, the numbers of HUD Code manufactured homes that have been sold in the U.S. has dramatically declined since the MHIA was passed. But part of the expected regulatory impact of the MHIA, per Congress’ document attached in the Senate’s “Section by Section Analysis” indicated: “Any direct economic impact [of passing the MHIA] is considered to be minimal, while it is believed that a secondary impact of greater commerce will result.” (Emphasis added). The Senate “SECTION-BY-SECTION ANALYSIS” documentation for the MHIA (S. 1452) also said: “CBO assumes the installation program would require on-site inspections for about 25 percent of the 400,000 homes installed annually.” When that Senate document drafted, it was already known that manufactured housing production for 1999 was 348,075 total dwellings. It was also known that manufactured housing shipments were falling. In 2000, total national production ended at 250,366 manufactured homes of all sizes. Restated, Congressional and CBO researchers were projecting that passage of the law would at least increase sales to 400,000 annually. But instead, sales and production declined after the MHIA was passed. For the intellectually curious, that begs the question – why are these facts so? Hold those thoughts in mind while pondering the following related issues. The challenge for untold numbers of the industry’s remaining independents is to have clarity on who is a friend, who is their enemy, and what – if anything – can legally be done to improve the relatively dismal status quo. That status quo – the true state of the manufactured housing industry – can in some ways be summed up in data as follows. On February 6, 2023 MHARR reported that in 2022 “cumulative production of 112,882 homes, a 6.7% increase over the 105,772 homes produced during 2021.” Two distinct MHProNews/MHLivingNews infographics reveal that manufactured housing production in 1998 totaled 373,143 new manufactured homes produced. Doing the math, that means that manufactured housing in 2022 was operating at only some 30.25 percent of its last high achieved in 1998. So, while manufactured housing has ‘recovered’ from its historic low in 2009 and 2010, what are the factors that caused that dramatic fall in the first place?
Furthermore, why are some connected to the Manufactured Housing Institute (MHI) compare the industry’s data mainly to that low water mark around 50,000 homes produced in 2009 and 2010 instead of to its last high-water mark in 1999 of 373,143?
Returning to the MHIA’s Senate analysis, Section 4 said: “The revisions to Section 604 would also clarify the scope of Federal preemption to ensure that disparate State or local requirements do not affect the uniformity and comprehensive nature of the Federal standards.” That should be considered additional evidence that compliments the letter from Congressional representatives about the legislative intent to HUD that MHARR and MHProNews has frequently referenced that apparently MHI oddly has not.
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In an era where large segments of the population distrust much of mainstream media – and when sly enemies or competitors don the faux mask of friendship – affordable housing advocates, smaller to mid-size investors, public officials, industry professionals and others need facts, evidence, and objective reasoning that can be double checked by serious readers is valuable. Why doesn’t MHI make double checking their own emails difficult? Why does MHI fail to provide their own emails that are labeled as ‘news’ aren’t publicly posted as MHARR does? When distractions, paltering, posturing, deception, and misdirection are commonplace and public trust in corporate and public officials are down, the obvious response ought to be to provide clarity on facts and reasoning complimented by a commonsense approach to clarify reality vs agenda-driven claims.
Simply put, make it easier for anyone to double check an organization’s or person’s statements and claims.
With those predicates in mind, MHProNews initiated a series of tests with the new Bing artificial intelligence (AI) search and chat tools. Several of the inquiries that follow were conducted on 5.23.2022, but the first two that follower were done on 5.24.2023. One key inquiry is this: “does a true friend lie to you?” Citing Elite Daily and other sources, Bing’s AI chat replied as follows.
Another question put to Bing AI’s chat was: “What is the largest and most read manufactured housing trade publication?”
Learn more:
- bing.com 2. manufacturedhomepronews.com 3. manufacturedhomepronews.com 4. manufacturedhomepronews.com 5. manufacturedhousingreview.com 6. simplecirc.com— see less”
Recall that in a prior test of Bing’s AI system when compared to others, Wired noted the weakness in each of them, but appeared to favor Bing’s AI powered chat in part because it cited sources. Meaning per Wired, Bing appears to be more transparent.
Another inquiry from 5.23 was this.
Q: “How long does it take Bing to incorporate new posts in their results?”
However, there is no specific time when your website will be indexed on Bing. The website that you submitted needs to be assessed before it appears in the index2.
I hope this helps. Let me know if you have any other questions.
Learn more:
To test that reply, within hours of publishing the report linked below, Bing correctly answered the following inquiry.
Q: “What is the thesis of MHARR’s June 2023 Issues and Perspectives?”
According to the Manufactured Housing Association for Regulatory Reform (MHARR), the thesis of their June 2023 Issues and Perspectives is that the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) routinely shovels mountains of cash out while failing to remedy or make a dent in the nation’s affordable housing crisis. This is according to Mark Weiss, J.D., President and CEO of MHARR1.
I hope that helps. Let me know if you have any other questions.
Learn more:
- manufacturedhomepronews.com 2. ktla.com 3. manufacturedhousingassociationregulatoryreform.org 4. manufacturedhousingassociationregulatoryreform.org— see less”
Note that Bing’s AI chat suggested for the above these related topics:
Another inquiry was the following.
Q: “What is the thesis of James Schmitz Jr about manufactured housing?”
I hope this helps! Let me know if you have any other questions.
Learn more:
- manufacturedhomepronews.com2. einnews.com3. culturejournaliceland.com4. startribune.com5. manufacturedhomepronews.com6. manufacturedhomepronews.com— see less”
Bing’s normal search results on the same question said the following as its top result.
Bing was asked this.
Q: What has Tom Hardiman said about CrossMods?
I hope this helps. Let me know if you have any other questions.
Learn more:
Q: What has Tom Hardiman said about MHI?
I hope that helps. Let me know if you have any other questions.
Learn more:
- manufacturedhomelivingnews.com 2. manufacturedhomepronews.com 3. linkedin.com 4. manufacturedhomepronews.com— see less”
Stop and think about the following regarding the Bing AI reply above. After some 5 years of hype about how the manufactured housing industry would benefit from the Clayton Homes supported and MHI branded CrossModTM type manufactured homes, it is oddly difficult to find the facts online that are sought in the next inquiry. Isn’t it obvious that MHI, Clayton, Skyline Champion Cavco Industries, et al who are pushing CrossMods are deliberately hiding that data from the public? If the data was impressive, wouldn’t they be shouting those results from the rooftops?
Given those thoughts, the following was put to Bing’s AI.
Q: How many CrossMods have been sold nationally?
Learn more:
Before proceeding to the next inquiry put to Bing’s AI chat function, once more consider that reply above for a few moments. The Manufactured Housing Institute (MHI), Clayton Homes (BRK), Skyline Champion (SKY), Cavco Industries (CVCO), Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are among those organization that have poured money into the CrossMods program. Yet after scanning the internet, Bing found no more definitive answers on how many CrossMods have been sold than the above on MHProNews? As Bing AI said: “Unfortunately, I could not find more recent data on this topic.”
For curious minds that want to know instead of guess, that begs its more questions. Why hasn’t MHI, Clayton, or others made it easy to find that precise number of how many CrossMods have been built and sold? Again, isn’t it apparent that despite all of the big talk, MHI branded CrossMods are an apparent market failure? With that brief tee up of the significance of the following inquiry in mind, MHProNews asked Bing’s AI powered search and chat the following.
That tees up the following inquiry which is only found on MHProNews and those platform which have picked up and reported the research on this issue provided by MHProNews.
Q: Despite years of hype hasn’t the Manufactured Housing Institute essentially admited that CrossMods are a market failure?
In another article on Manufactured Home Pro News, it was reported that CrossMod is a joke statistically and that Clayton Homes and MHI have been tight-lipped about the data2.
I hope this helps.
Learn more:
- manufacturedhomepronews.com2. manufacturedhomepronews.com3. manufacturedhomepronews.com4. manufacturedhousing.org— see less”
Correcting the typo (admited), a similar yet different reply was produced as shown.
Q: Despite years of hype hasn’t the Manufactured Housing Institute essentially admitted that CrossMods are a market failure? Bing’s normal search’s top response said this.
‘Developers Moving Away From CrossMods®’ Manufactured Housing Institute …
It cited MHProNews on 12.16.2022 and linked the report below.
But the Bing AI Chat gave this reply.
In another article by Manufactured Home Pro News, it was reported that CrossMod is a joke statistically and that Clayton Homes and MHI have been tight-lipped about the data2.
I hope this helps!
Learn more:
- manufacturedhomepronews.com 2. manufacturedhomepronews.com 3. manufacturedhomepronews.com 4. manufacturedhousing.org— see less”
Note that further inquiries made on the topics that followed and were conducted on 5.23.2023.
Q: Who has the largest known collection of manufactured home focused third party research?
According to an article on Fox21News.com, Manufactured Home Living News (MHLivingNews.com) has provided the largest known collection of third-party research on HUD Code manufactured housing1.
Learn more:
Q: What did the Manufactured Housing Institute do when asked by Tony Kovach to intervene in the Bryan, TX manufactured home ban?
Learn more:
Q: What did MHI do to support the Plant a Home project in Ayden, NC?
I hope this helps. Let me know if you have any other questions.
Learn more:
- reflector.com2. manufacturedhomelivingnews.com3. manufacturedhomelivingnews.com4. aydenhousing.com5. reflector.com— see less
In fairness to Bing, there is more than one “MHI,” so the question was refined as follows.
Q: What did the Manufactured Housing Institute do to support the Plant a Home project in Ayden, NC?
The Plant-A-Home program aims at providing an opportunity for more people in the area to have an affordable home of their own. However, town zoning regulations have barred the first participants in the program, Tyronne and Jaime Taft, from placing a manufactured home on the lot they own 3 4.
I hope this helps. Let me know if you have any other questions.
Learn more:
Q: What explains manufactured housing industry underperformance in 2023?
Just-released statistics indicate that HUD Code manufacturers produced 6,577 homes in February 2023, a 29.1% decrease from the 9,281 new HUD Code homes produced in February 2022. Cumulative production for 2023 is now 13,528 homes, a 26.4% decrease from the 18,391 homes produced over the same period during 20221.
It seems that the industry is experiencing a decline in production and sales which could be due to various reasons such as economic downturns or changes in consumer preferences. However, it is important to note that manufactured housing has been considered a recession-resistant investment option due to its under-appreciated inflation-linkage and Cost-of-Living-Adjustment effects2.
Learn more:
- manufacturedhousingassociationregulatoryreform.org 2. seekingalpha.com 3. manufacturedhousing.org 4. multihousingnews.com— see less”
As was observed in our initial report on this planned periodic series on Bing search and AI chat results, note that Wired indicated that their chat could be a ‘pretty little liar.’ Errors and contradictions can occur. That noted, the point made that Seeking Alpha asserts that manufactured housing is “recession-resident” is precisely why the industry should not be in a downturn. MHProNews has documented that for decades in the 20th century, which included prior recessions, manufactured housing held a higher market share than it has in the 21st century.
Q: What is the Manufactured Housing Improvement Act of 2000 and what is the importance of its enhanced preemption provision?
The enhanced preemption provision in the MHIA strengthened and enhanced federal preemption in order to allow for invalidation of state or local “requirements,” such as discriminatory zoning mandates, that have the effect of excluding mainstream manufactured homes2.
I hope this helps. Let me know if you have any other questions.
Learn more:
- manufacturedhousingassociationregulatoryreform.org 2. fox4kc.com 3. manufacturedhomepronews.com 4. hud.gov 5. einpresswire.com— see less”
Q: Why doesn’t the Manufactured Housing Institute have any reference on their website to enhanced preemption?
I hope this helps! Let me know if you have any other questions.
Learn more:
Q: Who has accused the Manufactured Housing Institute (MHI) of possible antitrust violations?
I hope this helps. Let me know if you have any other questions.
Learn more:
- manufacturedhomelivingnews.com2. manufacturedhomelivingnews.com3. manufacturedhomepronews.com4. manufacturedhomepronews.com— see less”
That answer is useful, but arguably isn’t complete. So, this follow up was asked.
Q: What has Prosperity Now’s Doug Ryan alleged about monopolization of manufactured housing?
I hope this helps. Let me know if you have any other questions.
Learn more:
- einnews.com2. manufacturedhomelivingnews.com3. manufacturedhomelivingnews.com4. multihousingnews.com5. prosperitynow.org6. prosperitynow.org— see less
That’s about double the length to the FHFA document found at this link here or as a download below. The FHFA document has appeared in prior tests of Bing’s search and Bing’s AI chat function.
For added context and background on the above, see the 3.3.2023 report linked below.
Q: Is there an infographic that compares manufactured housing production, RV industry production, and conventional housing starts?
I hope this helps! Let me know if you have any other questions.
Learn more:
- einnews.com2. manufacturedhomepronews.com3. manufacturedhomelivingnews.com4. homebuyernewsonline.com5. einpresswire.com6. mhvillage.com— see less”
As the closing inquiries for today, this question was put to Bing.
Q: “What did Robin Harding say about Warren Buffett moat manufactured housing?”
Learn more:
- einpresswire.com 2. manufacturedhomepronews.com 3. manufacturedhomepronews.com 4. manufacturedhomepronews.com 5. manufacturedhomepronews.com— see less
That reply merits refinement, as the first response is a press release by MHProNews that happened to be the top response in Bing’s standard search. It highlighted the following statements.
“The Nation reported that the “Dirty Secret Behind Warren Buffett’s Billions” was a method Buffett called “the moat.” Robin Harding in the Financial Times said, “the Buffett definition of good management [for Berkshire Hathaway owned companies] is therefor clear.”
The second top result was the one linked here.
Warren Buffett’s Moat, Understanding Manufactured Housing Requires Grasping Strategic Economic Moats
The still relevant result above is from 1.31.2019. It asked the question: ‘Why aren’t more manufactured homes being sold?’
When that question was put to Bing, here is what its AI chat said on 5.24.2023.
Q: “Why aren’t more manufactured homes being sold?”
Another article by Manufactured Home Living News suggests that answers to common questions or concerns about manufactured homes is demonstrated to lead to more purchase or sales. That’s true of any good product or service. Desire – once understood, people want something that is good for them. The Ability or Means – is clearly required to make a purchase2.
I hope this helps.
Learn more:
Summary and Conclusion
The above are examples of inquiries put to Bing’s AI that shed light on key manufactured housing issues.
Despite the fact that the Manufactured Housing Institute (MHI) and some of their apparently allied “amen corner” trade media (their own emails, emails by MHI affiliated state associations, MHVillage’s MHInsider, et al) collectively have literally millions of dollars more in annual budgets, Manufactured Home Pro News (MHProNews.com) and Mobile and Manufactured Home Living News (MHLivingNews.com) routinely have produced the bulk of the well documented facts, evidence, with commonsense commentary and expert analysis, as was shown by Bing’s AI above.
Additionally, MHARR – also modest in size compared to MHI – has far more information than MHI on key “post-production” focused issues that include “enhanced preemption,” the GSE’s Duty to Serve (DTS), or the production-focused DOE Energy Rule.
Millions of visits annually to MHProNews are part of the reward that detailed, honest insights, with properly referenced sources for the reported information. The documentation for that resulted in Bing confirming MHProNews as having the largest documented manufactured housing trade news audience.
As Bing replied above, people may not always like evidence of a sobering truth that is uncomfortable. That applies to the truths, facts, evidence, and expert commentary found on MHProNews.com or MHLivingNews.com. But as the Good Book says, only the truth can set us free.
As Bing AI’s clearly suggested, a true friend will tell you the truth, instead of clever lies, paltering, or spin that serve an agenda.
That unstated by MHI agenda in manufactured housing appears to be elimination of competition that includes consolidation at discounted valuations of competitors whenever possible. That apparent agenda by MHI may be unstated, it has been well documented by remarks made but publicly traded MHI member companies.
Given that Sun’s Gary Shiffman said that new communities could often be developed more profitably than buying an existing community at compressed cap rates, these facts above arguably negatively impact investors.
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But those harms also impact consumers of manufactured homes. In 2000, the Senate indicated that they believed that manufactured housing would be at 400,000 annual production a year. The population has grown since then. So, in fairness to MHI’s prior President and CEO Richard “Dick” Jennison, he had good reasons to assert that manufactured housing could achieve 500,000 new homes annually.
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But MHI vice chairman and Cavco CEO William “Bill” Boor went further than Jennison. Boor told potential investors and shareholders that manufactured housing could surpass conventional housing. Fair enough, but then why hasn’t that occurred? Why did manufactured housing nosedive instead?
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It takes time and effort to provide accurate facts that debunk the paltering, spin, and apparently corrupt communications from MHI and their trade publication allies. Nevertheless, besides the reward of doing what’s right, there is the added benefit of having – per Bing – the documented largest audience in manufactured housing trade media.
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It isn’t only investors or employees of manufactured housing that are being harmed by this pattern of apparent market manipulation that includes a manipulation of facts through paltering, spin, etc. Potentially millions of possible manufactured home buyers, taxpayers, public coffers (budgets for affordable housing) and others are harmed too.
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A few may benefit by harming others, but that harm appears to cross legal lines, per research by Samuel “Sam” Strommen, James A. “Jim” Schmitz Jr., Doug Ryan, and others. It is past time for public officials to step in and legally act. Strommen bluntly said that antitrust action is warranted and that MHI should be deprived of Noerr protection should antitrust action occur. Time will tell if or when state and federal officials will act on the evidence that is harming so many by the apparent misdeeds of relatively few. See the related fact and evidence packed reports and analysis for more. ##
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Part III – Daily Business News on MHProNews Markets and Headline News Segment
The modifications of our prior Daily Business News on MHProNews format of the recap of yesterday evening’s market report are provided below. It still includes our signature left (CNN Business) and right (Newsmax) ‘market moving’ headlines. The macro market moves graphics will provide context and comparisons for those invested in or tracking manufactured housing connected equities.
In minutes a day readers can get a good sense of significant or major events while keeping up with the trends that are impacting manufactured housing connected investing.
Reminder: several of the graphics on MHProNews can be opened into a larger size. For instance: click the image and follow the prompts in your browser or device to OPEN In a New Window. Then, in several browsers/devices you can click the image and increase the size. Use the ‘x out’ (close window) escape or back key to return.
NOTICE: our left-right headline capture function failed. We regret the inconvenience. That said, the market graphics are provided below.
Notice: the graphic below can be expanded to a larger size.
See the instructions below the graphic below or click the image and follow the prompts.
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Notice: the graphic below can be expanded to a larger size.
See the instructions below the graphic below or click the image and follow the prompts.
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2022 was a tough year for many stocks. Unfortunately, that pattern held true for manufactured home industry (MHVille) connected stocks too.
See the facts, linked below.
====================================
Updated
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-
- NOTE 1: The 3rd chart above of manufactured housing connected equities includes the Canadian stock, ECN, which purchased Triad Financial Services, a manufactured home industry finance lender.
- NOTE 2: Drew changed its name and trading symbol at the end of 2016 to Lippert (LCII).
- NOTE 3: Deer Valley was largely taken private, say company insiders in a message to MHProNews on 12.15.2020, but there are still some outstanding shares of the stock from the days when it was a publicly traded firm. Thus, there is still periodic activity on DVLY.
- Note 4: some recent or related reports to the REITs, stocks, and other equities named above follow in the reports linked below.
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2023 …Berkshire Hathaway is the parent company to Clayton Homes, 21st Mortgage, Vanderbilt Mortgage and other factory-built housing industry suppliers.
· LCI Industries, Patrick, UFPI, and LP each are suppliers to the manufactured housing industry, among others.
· AMG, CG, and TAVFX have investments in manufactured housing related businesses. For insights from third-parties and clients about our publisher, click here.
Disclosure. MHProNews holds no positions in the stocks in this report.
· For expert manufactured housing business development or other professional services, click here.
· To sign up in seconds for our industry leading emailed headline news updates, click here.
- Manufactured housing, production, factories, retail, dealers, manufactured home, communities, passive mobile home park investing, suppliers, brokers, finance, financial services, macro-markets, manufactured housing stocks, Manufactured Home Communities Real Estate Investment Trusts, MHC REITs.
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That’s a wrap on this installment of “News Through the Lens of Manufactured Homes and Factory-Built Housing” © where “We Provide, You Decide.” © (Affordable housing, manufactured homes, stock, investing, data, metrics, reports, fact-checks, analysis, and commentary. Third-party images or content are provided under fair use guidelines for media.) (See Related Reports, further below. Text/image boxes often are hot-linked to other reports that can be access by clicking on them.)
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By L.A. “Tony” Kovach – for MHProNews.
Tony earned a journalism scholarship along with numerous awards in history. There have been several awards and honors and also recognition in manufactured housing. For example, he earned the prestigious Lottinville Award in history from the University of Oklahoma, where he studied history and business management. He’s a managing member and co-founder of LifeStyle Factory Homes, LLC, the parent company to MHProNews, and MHLivingNews.com. This article reflects the LLC’s and/or the writer’s position and may or may not reflect the views of sponsors or supporters.