The conventional rule of thumb in the New Hampshire presidential primary told us that many, if not most voters, don’t decide for whom they will vote until right before they cast their ballot. This year may have been the exception, as the polls that emerged in the run up to the primary were rather accurate. In any case, the Sanders and Trump wins indicate the public recognizes the stalemate in Washington and seeks something different.
Updating our post from right after the early projeced results came in last night, on the Democratic side, neighboring Vermont’s Bernie Sanders all but coasted to an easy win, as was expected. The Sanders bern bested Hillary Clinton by 22 points, 60 to 38. Strong support for Sanders came from younger voters who are not so keen on ‘politics as usual,’ sending a bit of a shock wave through the Clinton campaign (see chart). The New York Times reports rumors of Clinton campaign implosion after the lost to Sanders in the New Hampshire primary, a statement the campaign denies.
Donald Trump took the Republican primary, again true to the polls, with 35 percent of the vote, more than double second place John Kasich with 16 percent, followed by Ted Cruz with 12 percent. Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio each got eleven percent.
Trump dominated in every educational demographic including graduate and post-graduate, as well as all five family income groups from those earning up to $30k to those over $200k, and all the age groups (see chart). According to the New Hampshire exit polls, a full 66 percent of Republican voters back a “ban on Muslims from entering the U. S.,” a position Trump has stated in recent weeks of his campaign.
Among the issues that makes this election cycle important to manufactured housing industry, the Democratic candidates for the White House share an opposition to changes to Dodd Frank. Current CFPB implementation of Dodd-Frank has been documented to harm MH owners and industry pros. The Republican candidates for the oval office want to alter Dodd-Frank and change the leadership of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) from one director to a directorate, and overall are much more amenable to the MH industry as a whole.
The Preserving Access to Manufactured Housing Act H. R.650 passed the House but is still pending in the Senate (S 682). If a Democrat takes the White House, it is more likely the Dems may take back the Senate, making the likelihood of passing the industry sought reforms lower in the Senate. A Democrat president wold also likely add to the party’s numbers in the House.
The reverse is also true. A Republican victory in the presidential campaign is more likely to result in their holding the Senate, and keeping their House majority.
Meanwhile, District of Columbia sources tells MHProNew that if the Department of Justice fails to indict Secretary Clinton on violations of national security related to classified materials on her private email server, angered FBI agents will leak information that will end up in opposition attack ads. Additionally, transcripts of Hillary’s speech to Goldman Sachs will ‘bury her’ with many progressives.
Sanders is the first Jewish candidate to ever win a state presidential primary. ##
(Photo credit: foxnews–Graphic credit: cbsnews— Sanders and Trump emerge from NH victorious)
